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404,175

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2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Highest temperature in Jeddah on June 7?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Jeddah on June 7?

Volume:
$64,786

38°C

 - Polymarket

38°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 7, 2026

Closed: Jun 7, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

38°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

37°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,204
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,792
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,861
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

39°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,350
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,568
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

42°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,544
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

41°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,013
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,297
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

43°C or higher

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,557
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional meteorological forecasts and analyst predictions. While weather agencies issue deterministic temperature ranges based on climate models and historical data, prediction markets aggregate trader expectations and uncertainty into probabilistic odds. The market may price in tail risks, seasonal anomalies, or recent climate patterns that analysts weight differently. Comparing Polymarket odds to published forecasts from meteorological services can reveal where traders expect conditions to deviate from baseline expectations, offering insight into market-implied confidence levels.

The market resolves on Jun 7, 2026, after the highest temperature in Jeddah on June 7 has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on official temperature data from a designated weather source, which is used to determine whether the actual peak temperature matches the outcome specified in the contract. Traders should monitor the event closely as the date approaches to understand which data source will be used and any specific conditions that may affect the final determination. Once resolved, payouts are distributed according to the outcome.

Several factors could shift odds for Jeddah's peak temperature on June 7. Major weather pattern changes, such as shifts in monsoon activity or unexpected atmospheric systems, can alter forecasts significantly. Updated meteorological models and seasonal climate outlooks released closer to the date will influence trader positioning. Real-time weather alerts, dust storms, or unusual pressure systems in the Arabian Peninsula may trigger repricing. Additionally, historical temperature records and recent anomalies in June weather for Jeddah could prompt traders to adjust their expectations, causing odds to move as new information becomes available.