TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Jeddah on June 11?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Jeddah on June 11?

Volume:
$20,382

38°C or higher

 - Polymarket

38°C or higher - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

38°C or higher

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,672
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

36°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,980
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,161
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,034
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,714
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$577
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$577
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket can be compared against meteorological forecasts and analyst models from weather services and climate research institutions. Markets often incorporate real-time data and trader expertise, while traditional forecasts rely on numerical weather prediction models and historical patterns. Divergences between market odds and analyst estimates may signal either market inefficiency or emerging consensus about atmospheric conditions. Tracking both sources helps identify whether traders are pricing in factors analysts have overlooked or vice versa.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Jeddah on June 11 is priced through an automated market maker that allows traders to buy and sell shares corresponding to specific temperature ranges or exact values. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1 reflecting its implied probability. Traders profit by correctly predicting which temperature bracket will be recorded. Prices adjust dynamically based on order flow, with larger trades moving prices more significantly. Liquidity and volume determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions.

The market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, after the highest temperature in Jeddah on June 11 has been officially recorded. Resolution depends on verified temperature data from a designated meteorological source, ensuring accuracy and preventing disputes. Once the official high temperature is confirmed, the corresponding outcome is declared correct and winning shares are paid out. The timing allows sufficient time for data collection and verification before final settlement occurs.

Temperature predictions for Jeddah on June 11 may shift based on updated weather models, seasonal climate patterns, and atmospheric anomalies. Major signals include changes in regional pressure systems, monsoon activity, dust storm forecasts, and ocean temperature anomalies affecting the Arabian Peninsula. Real-time weather alerts and meteorological updates released closer to the date will likely drive significant price movements. Historical temperature records for early June in Jeddah and any unusual climate events in the preceding weeks could also influence trader expectations and market odds.