TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Jeddah on June 10?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Jeddah on June 10?

Volume:
$26,239

37°C or higher

 - Polymarket

37°C or higher - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

Closed: Jun 10, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

37°C or higher

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,065
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

36°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,057
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,873
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$590
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$544
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$544
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$493
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$343
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations and often incorporate meteorological forecasts from professional weather services. While analyst predictions tend to rely on historical climate data and seasonal patterns, prediction markets price in real-time information and trader conviction. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic temperature scenarios than official forecasts suggest. This divergence can highlight where traders see value or where consensus may shift as June 10 approaches and updated weather models become available.

Several factors could shift market odds before resolution. Updated seasonal weather forecasts and long-range models may indicate stronger or weaker heat patterns for early June in Jeddah. Major atmospheric events, such as shifts in monsoon activity or unusual pressure systems, could alter temperature expectations. Historical climate anomalies or El Niño conditions may influence trader positioning. As June 10 approaches, near-term weather forecasts become more precise, typically triggering significant price movements. Real-time meteorological updates and any unusual weather patterns in the Arabian Peninsula will likely drive trading activity and odds adjustments.