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Highest temperature in Jeddah on June 1?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Jeddah on June 1?

Volume:
$56,091

35°C

 - Polymarket

35°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 1, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

35°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,995
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,017
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,743
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,703
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

39°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,986
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,479
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,633
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,266
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$962
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$591
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional meteorological forecasts and analyst predictions. While weather agencies issue deterministic temperature ranges based on climate models and historical data, prediction markets aggregate trader expectations and incorporate real-time information, uncertainty, and risk sentiment. Comparing Polymarket odds to published forecasts from meteorological services can reveal whether traders are pricing in more extreme outcomes or consensus views. This comparison helps identify where market expectations deviate from expert consensus on Jeddah's June 1 temperature.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a set of outcome shares, each representing a specific temperature range or threshold. Traders buy and sell these shares, with prices reflecting the probability of each outcome occurring. The market uses an automated market maker mechanism to determine share prices based on supply and demand. As traders adjust positions ahead of Jun 1, 2026, prices shift to reflect new information about weather patterns, seasonal trends, and atmospheric conditions affecting Jeddah.

The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, after the highest temperature in Jeddah on June 1 has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on official temperature data from a designated weather source or meteorological authority for Jeddah. The actual peak temperature observed on that date determines which outcome shares are correct. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout once the final temperature is confirmed and the market settles.

Several factors can shift odds for Jeddah's June 1 temperature. Major weather pattern changes, such as shifts in monsoon activity or unusual pressure systems, can alter forecasts significantly. Updated seasonal climate models and long-range weather outlooks will influence trader positioning. Real-time atmospheric data, including sea surface temperatures and humidity patterns in the Arabian Peninsula, may trigger repricing. Additionally, historical anomalies or extreme heat events in the region can prompt traders to adjust expectations. As June 1 approaches, short-range forecasts become more precise and typically drive larger price movements.