TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Houston on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Houston on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$22,943

80° or below

 - Kalshi

80° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

80° or below

View
100%
93%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,538
N/A
N/A
$4,213
Settled
Yes
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,066
N/A
N/A
$3,539
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,402
N/A
N/A
$3,085
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,270
N/A
N/A
$1,191
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,440
N/A
N/A
$1,117
Settled
No
kalshi

89° or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,227
N/A
N/A
$1,062
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of various temperature ranges in Houston on a specific future date, providing insight into potential weather conditions based on recorded maximum temperatures.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at the Houston (CLIHOU) location on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 80° or below, 81-82°, 83-84°, 85-86°, 87-88°, and 89° or above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and while other weather services may offer similar data, they are not used for resolution. Preliminary data from The Weather Company may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so users should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary data publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience and does not guarantee error-free data, meaning it does not exempt the markets from potential adjustments due to errors.