TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The maximum temperature will be recorded at Houston on June 7, 2026, according to the National Weather Service's official climatological report. This event tracks the actual high temperature that occurs on that date in Houston.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the highest temperature in Houston on June 7, 2026 is priced through binary or range-based outcome contracts that traders buy and sell based on their temperature expectations. Each contract reflects the market's collective belief about whether the daily high will fall into a specific temperature bracket. Prices move as new weather models, seasonal data, and real-time atmospheric conditions emerge. Traders profit by correctly predicting whether Houston will experience cooler or hotter conditions relative to the strike prices offered, with payoffs determined at market resolution on Jun 8, 2026.
Key signals include updated seasonal climate forecasts, El Niño or La Niña patterns affecting North American weather, atmospheric pressure systems developing in the Gulf of Mexico, and historical temperature anomalies for early June. Major weather events such as tropical systems, cold fronts, or heat domes can shift trader expectations significantly. Long-range model consensus from NOAA and international weather centers will influence odds as June 7 approaches. Real-time atmospheric data, ocean temperatures, and any unusual climate events in the months leading up to the event will drive trading activity and price adjustments on Kalshi.