TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

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30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

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Highest temperature in Houston on Jun 7, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Houston on Jun 7, 2026?

Volume:
$20,112

86° to 87°

 - Kalshi

86° to 87° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 8, 2026

Closed: Jun 8, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

86° to 87°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,797
N/A
N/A
$3,477
Settled
Yes
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,619
N/A
N/A
$3,175
Settled
No
kalshi

85° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,073
N/A
N/A
$4,442
Settled
No
kalshi

92° to 93°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,747
N/A
N/A
$1,207
Settled
No
kalshi

90° to 91°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,715
N/A
N/A
$1,398
Settled
No
kalshi

94° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,161
N/A
N/A
$716
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

The maximum temperature will be recorded at Houston on June 7, 2026, according to the National Weather Service's official climatological report. This event tracks the actual high temperature that occurs on that date in Houston.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money consensus from traders pricing in meteorological data, historical June temperatures in Houston, and seasonal climate patterns. Analyst forecasts from the National Weather Service and private weather services typically focus on shorter-term precision, while prediction markets aggregate longer-horizon expectations and uncertainty. Comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to published climate normals and seasonal outlooks can reveal whether traders expect above-average or below-average heat for early June in Houston. Market odds often incorporate tail-risk scenarios that traditional forecasts may underweight.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the highest temperature in Houston on June 7, 2026 is priced through binary or range-based outcome contracts that traders buy and sell based on their temperature expectations. Each contract reflects the market's collective belief about whether the daily high will fall into a specific temperature bracket. Prices move as new weather models, seasonal data, and real-time atmospheric conditions emerge. Traders profit by correctly predicting whether Houston will experience cooler or hotter conditions relative to the strike prices offered, with payoffs determined at market resolution on Jun 8, 2026.

Key signals include updated seasonal climate forecasts, El Niño or La Niña patterns affecting North American weather, atmospheric pressure systems developing in the Gulf of Mexico, and historical temperature anomalies for early June. Major weather events such as tropical systems, cold fronts, or heat domes can shift trader expectations significantly. Long-range model consensus from NOAA and international weather centers will influence odds as June 7 approaches. Real-time atmospheric data, ocean temperatures, and any unusual climate events in the months leading up to the event will drive trading activity and price adjustments on Kalshi.