TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Houston on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess the likelihood of different temperature ranges based on historical trends and forecasts.
All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded at Houston-Hobby Airport on July 31, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). The outcome is determined by which temperature range—defined by specific degree thresholds—the recorded maximum falls into. Each market corresponds to a distinct range: below 94°F, 94–95°F, 96–97°F, 98–99°F, 100–101°F, or above 101°F. Traders must rely exclusively on the NWS report for resolution, as preliminary or third-party data sources are not considered authoritative. It is important to note that NWS data may undergo revisions, and participants should use the latest published report for the date in question. Rounding and conversion methodologies inherent in NWS reporting may affect the final outcome, so caution is advised when interpreting early or unofficial data.