TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Houston on Jul 29, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Houston on Jul 29, 2026?

Volume:
$44,392

96° or below

 - Kalshi

96° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 30, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

96° or below

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,919
N/A
N/A
$14,031
Settled
Yes
kalshi

97° to 98°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,252
N/A
N/A
$9,360
Settled
No
kalshi

99° to 100°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,209
N/A
N/A
$2,719
Settled
No
kalshi

101° to 102°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$374
N/A
N/A
$343
Settled
No
kalshi

105° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$362
N/A
N/A
$337
Settled
No
kalshi

103° to 104°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
$248
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Houston on a specific date, using official government data. Participants assess whether the temperature will fall within certain ranges based on verified meteorological reports.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in Houston on July 29, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the temperature is 96°F or lower, the first market resolves to Yes. If it falls between 97°F and 98°F, the second market resolves to Yes, and this pattern continues for subsequent ranges up to 103°F to 104°F. For any temperature above 104°F, the final market resolves to Yes. The National Weather Service's report is the sole authority for determining the outcome, and traders must use the latest available data from the specified location (Houston-Hobby, TX). Preliminary data from other sources may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances, and such discrepancies should be carefully considered when making predictions.