TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Houston on a specific date in the future, using official government data sources. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the likelihood of different temperature ranges. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature report published after the date in question.
The event determines whether the maximum temperature in Houston on August 3, 2026, falls within one of six specified ranges, all resolved using the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily) for Houston-Hobby, TX. Each range—96°F or below, 97-98°F, 99-100°F, 101-102°F, 103-104°F, or above 104°F—is evaluated against the reported maximum temperature. The official NWS data is the sole authority, and traders must use the latest version of the report, noting that preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion nuances. Secondary rules emphasize that while third-party weather services may offer guidance, they do not override the NWS report, and all participants should exercise caution in interpreting any early or unofficial data.