TOTAL VOLUME:

$143.1b

24H VOL:

$114,515,047

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,676,623,266

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,636,853,979

494,282

Markets across

37,363

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,865

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 16?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 16?

Oct 14, 2026, 12:56 AM EST - Oct 16, 2026, 8:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$58,923
Volume 24h:
$45,970
295%
Liquidity:
$89,587
160%
Open interest:
$15,699N/A

29°C

 - Polymarket

29°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 16, 2026

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.7¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.3% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

29°C

Trade
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0.3¢
0.3¢
$5,449
$17,565
906%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

30°C

0%
48%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
—
$5,582
$14,138
345%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

28°C

0%
5%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$8,400
$11,346
377%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

31°C

0%
8%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$2,935
$7,990
360%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

27°C

0%
1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$12,217
$3,514
75%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

32°C

0%
1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$2,974
$2,833
319%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

33°C or higher

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$3,192
$464
78%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

23°C or below

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$11,557
$444
29%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

26°C

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$11,759
$416
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

24°C

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$13,193
$107
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

25°C

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$12,328
$107
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.