TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 28?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 28?

Volume:
$51,855

16°C

 - Polymarket

16°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 29, 2026

Closed: May 28, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

16°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,767
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

17°C or higher

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,434
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,518
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,350
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

13°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,661
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

9°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,598
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

10°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,271
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

11°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,020
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

7°C or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$699
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

8°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$393
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the highest temperature recorded in Helsinki on May 28, 2026 will reach 16°C, with Polymarket currently pricing the 16°C outcome at 100.0%. The alternative outcome—a high of 17°C or above—stands at 0.1%. Resolution will be determined by historical temperature data from Wunderground's records for Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station. Watch the actual weather conditions as May 28, 2026 approaches to see whether Helsinki experiences the forecasted temperature range.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature prediction in Helsinki on May 28 on Polymarket. It displays current odds for all available outcomes, 24-hour trading volume of $40,774, and cumulative market volume of $51,855. Users can monitor price movements, historical odds trends, and liquidity depth to understand how the market is pricing different temperature scenarios as the event date approaches.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on Helsinki's May 28 high temperature, while meteorological forecasts from weather agencies and climate analysts rely on atmospheric models and historical data. Markets often incorporate analyst predictions but add trader sentiment and risk appetite. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is pricing in more or less optimism about warmer or cooler conditions than official forecasts suggest, offering insight into market expectations versus expert models.

The market resolves on May 28, 2026, after the highest temperature in Helsinki on May 28 has been recorded and verified. The outcome is determined by official temperature data from a designated weather station or meteorological authority in Helsinki. Once the actual high temperature is confirmed, the corresponding outcome contract is settled, and traders holding winning shares receive their payout based on the final odds at which they traded.

Major weather pattern shifts, seasonal climate anomalies, and updated long-range forecasts from meteorological agencies can significantly move odds. Arctic air masses, high-pressure systems, or unexpected warm fronts approaching Scandinavia in late May will influence trader expectations. Real-time weather model updates, historical temperature comparisons for that date, and broader European climate trends will drive repricing. As May 28 approaches, short-range forecasts become more reliable and typically trigger larger odds adjustments as uncertainty narrows.