TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 9, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 9, 2026?

Volume:
$28,825

100° to 101°

 - Kalshi

100° to 101° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 10, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

100° to 101°

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,119
N/A
N/A
$6,105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

102° to 103°

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,904
N/A
N/A
$6,306
Settled
No
kalshi

98° to 99°

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,443
N/A
N/A
$5,979
Settled
No
kalshi

97° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,661
N/A
N/A
$1,625
Settled
No
kalshi

104° to 105°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,166
N/A
N/A
$1,113
Settled
No
kalshi

106° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$532
N/A
N/A
$520
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the highest temperature that will be recorded in Dallas on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of climate forecasting accuracy for that particular day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Dallas (CLIDFW) on September 9, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 97°F or below, 98-99°F, 100-101°F, 102-103°F, 104-105°F, or above 105°F. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, and users should be aware that preliminary readings may differ from the final reported value due to rounding or conversion issues. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date. In cases where data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.