TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Dallas on Jul 26, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Dallas on Jul 26, 2026?

Volume:
$57,019

99° or below

 - Kalshi

99° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

99° or below

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21,791
N/A
N/A
$12,370
Settled
Yes
kalshi

100° to 101°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,962
N/A
N/A
$14,729
Settled
No
kalshi

102° to 103°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,111
N/A
N/A
$6,432
Settled
No
kalshi

104° to 105°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,337
N/A
N/A
$1,154
Settled
No
kalshi

108° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$960
N/A
N/A
$858
Settled
No
kalshi

106° to 107°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$858
N/A
N/A
$857
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Dallas on a specific future date, using official government data sources. Participants assess weather conditions and historical trends to predict temperature ranges, with outcomes determined by verified meteorological reports after the date occurs.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Dallas on July 26, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Dallas/Fort Worth, TX. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 100°F, 100-101°F, 102-103°F, 104-105°F, 106-107°F, or above 107°F. The relevant data must be accessed via the NWS Climate page under the "Observed Weather" tab using the Daily Climate Report for the exact date. Traders should use the latest published report and remain aware that preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion inconsistencies. No alternative weather sources, such as AccuWeather or Google Weather, determine outcomes—only the official NWS report is binding. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with exactly one resolving to "Yes" based on where the actual temperature falls within the defined ranges.