TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Dallas on Aug 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Dallas on Aug 4, 2026?

Volume:
$39,469

100° to 101°

 - Kalshi

100° to 101° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

100° to 101°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,392
N/A
N/A
$10,441
Settled
Yes
kalshi

102° to 103°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,428
N/A
N/A
$5,928
Settled
No
kalshi

99° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,027
N/A
N/A
$5,231
Settled
No
kalshi

104° to 105°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,365
N/A
N/A
$2,123
Settled
No
kalshi

106° to 107°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$683
N/A
N/A
$654
Settled
No
kalshi

108° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$573
N/A
N/A
$567
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Dallas on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess weather conditions and historical trends to predict temperature ranges, with outcomes determined by verified meteorological reports after the date occurs.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Dallas on August 4, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Dallas/Fort Worth, TX. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 100°F, 100-101°F, 102-103°F, 104-105°F, 106-107°F, or above 107°F. The official data must be accessed via the provided NWS URL after the date, using the latest available report. While preliminary or third-party weather sources may offer guidance, only the NWS Climatological Report serves as the definitive authority for resolution. Traders should remain cautious regarding potential rounding, conversion nuances, and reporting delays inherent in meteorological data collection.