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Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 28?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 28?

Volume:
$54,910

24°C

 - Polymarket

24°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 28, 2026

Closed: May 28, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

24°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,986
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,297
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,521
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,511
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,663
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,575
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,573
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,780
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$686
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the highest temperature recorded in Chongqing will reach 24°C on May 28, 2026. On Polymarket, the 24°C outcome is priced at 99.9%, while the 23°C outcome stands at 0.1%. Resolution will be determined by historical weather data from Wunderground, using measurements from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station. Watch for the actual temperature reading on May 28, 2026, as that date will trigger the final settlement.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 28 event on Polymarket. It displays the current probability of the top outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $28,683. The total event volume stands at $54,910, reflecting sustained trader interest in this weather prediction. Users can monitor how odds shift as new information emerges and observe liquidity patterns leading up to the May 28, 2026 resolution date.

The market resolves on May 28, 2026, after the highest temperature in Chongqing on May 28 has been recorded. Resolution depends on official temperature data from a designated meteorological source. The outcome is determined by comparing the actual recorded high temperature against the predefined thresholds embedded in each contract. Once the data is confirmed and verified, the market settles automatically, with winning shares paying out and losing shares expiring worthless.

Several factors could shift odds for Chongqing's May 28 high temperature. Updated weather forecasts from meteorological agencies, particularly those issued in the week before May 28, often trigger significant price movements. Seasonal climate patterns and historical May temperatures in Chongqing provide baseline expectations. Real-time atmospheric conditions, monsoon activity, and any unusual weather systems approaching the region can alter trader sentiment. Additionally, as the date approaches, model convergence or divergence among forecasters influences market confidence in specific temperature ranges.