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Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 7?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 7?

Volume:
$102,555

26°C

 - Polymarket

26°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 7, 2026

Closed: Jun 7, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

26°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,948
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,033
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,855
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,572
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,888
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,023
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,601
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,249
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,334
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,115
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,937
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional meteorological forecasts and analyst predictions. While weather analysts rely on numerical models and historical climate data, prediction markets incorporate real-time information, trader expertise, and collective intelligence. The market price for Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 7 may reflect emerging weather patterns, seasonal anomalies, or recent atmospheric data faster than conventional forecasts update. Comparing Polymarket odds to published meteorological agency predictions can reveal where traders see opportunities or risks that analysts have not yet fully priced in.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 7 is priced through an order-book or automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares. Each temperature range or specific threshold carries a price reflecting its implied probability. Traders profit by correctly predicting which outcome occurs, incentivizing accurate pricing. As new information emerges—weather forecasts, seasonal patterns, or atmospheric conditions—prices adjust dynamically. The spread between bid and ask prices reflects market liquidity and uncertainty around the final temperature reading on June 7 in Chongqing.

The Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 7 market resolves on Jun 7, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official highest temperature recorded in Chongqing on June 7, typically sourced from meteorological authorities or verified weather data providers. The outcome depends on actual atmospheric conditions and temperature readings captured on that date. Once the official data is confirmed and published, the market settles according to which outcome bracket or threshold the recorded temperature falls into, and traders' positions are finalized accordingly.

Several factors could shift odds for Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 7. Major weather pattern changes—such as monsoon onset, high-pressure systems, or tropical cyclones—can significantly alter temperature expectations. Updated seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies may reveal stronger or weaker heat anomalies. Real-time atmospheric data, including sea-surface temperatures and jet-stream positioning, influences trader sentiment. Historical temperature records for early June in Chongqing provide context for extreme outcomes. Additionally, broader climate indices like El Niño or La Niña phases can affect regional temperature trends. As June 7 approaches, short-range forecasts become more precise, typically narrowing market uncertainty and tightening odds around the most likely outcome.