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Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 27?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 27?

Volume:
$101,746

29°C

 - Polymarket

29°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

29°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,735
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

24°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,905
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,071
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,472
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,568
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,744
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like this one often diverge from traditional weather forecasts because they aggregate real-time trader expectations rather than relying solely on meteorological models. While meteorologists publish deterministic forecasts based on atmospheric data, market participants price in uncertainty, geopolitical factors, and emerging weather patterns dynamically. The current odds reflect collective trader conviction about whether the highest temperature will hit exactly 30°C. Comparing this market's probability to published forecasts from regional weather services can reveal where professional predictions and crowd wisdom align or diverge on Chongqing's June 27 conditions.

This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once June 27 has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Chongqing can be verified. The outcome is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting, such as official meteorological records or widely cited weather data sources. At that point, the market will settle based on whether the actual peak temperature matches the outcome conditions traders wagered on. Until resolution, prices will continue to fluctuate as new weather forecasts emerge and the date approaches.

Several factors could shift odds significantly before June 27. Updated seasonal forecasts, atmospheric pressure patterns, and tropical weather systems affecting the region could trigger repricing. Major weather alerts or warnings issued by Chinese meteorological authorities would likely move the market sharply. Real-time temperature readings in the days leading up to June 27 will also influence trader positioning, as will any unusual climate anomalies or heat waves forecast for central China. News of El Niño or La Niña developments could add longer-term pressure, while day-of satellite imagery and early morning forecasts may drive final volatility before settlement.