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Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 8?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 8?

Volume:
$62,023

37°C

 - Polymarket

37°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 8, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

37°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,703
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,304
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,853
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,799
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,894
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

39°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,577
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,537
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,090
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Chongqing temperature peak market dashboard displays real-time odds and historical price movements for predictions on the highest temperature recorded in Chongqing on July 8. The interface shows current market sentiment through live pricing, allowing traders to monitor how confidence in different temperature outcomes shifts over time. You can also track trading volume and liquidity depth to gauge overall market activity and participation in this weather-focused contract.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional meteorological forecasts because they incorporate real-time trader sentiment and broader information flows beyond official weather models. While meteorologists rely on atmospheric data and historical patterns, this market aggregates the collective judgment of participants betting on the actual outcome. Comparing the implied probability here to published forecasts from regional weather services can reveal where the crowd expects conditions to differ from baseline predictions, offering a complementary perspective on July 8's temperature in Chongqing.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on buy and sell volume for each temperature outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The contract price reflects the collective probability assigned by participants, with each outcome ranging from near-zero to near-certain. As new information emerges or trading patterns shift, prices update continuously, allowing you to enter or exit positions at the prevailing market rate throughout the trading window.

This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the highest temperature recorded in Chongqing on that date becomes verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual peak temperature reading captured by official weather monitoring stations or recognized meteorological data providers. Traders holding positions on the correct temperature band or range will receive their payout once the final measurement is confirmed and the contract settles.

Weather pattern shifts, seasonal monsoon activity, and updated meteorological forecasts can all drive significant price movements in this market. Major weather alerts or extreme heat warnings issued by regional authorities may trigger rapid repricing as traders adjust their expectations. Additionally, historical temperature records for early July in Chongqing and real-time atmospheric conditions closer to the event date will influence trading behavior. Traders monitoring climate indices and local news will likely react quickly to any signals suggesting unusually hot or mild conditions ahead.