TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$96,417

74° to 75°

 - Kalshi

74° to 75° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

74° to 75°

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,692
N/A
N/A
$11,775
Settled
Yes
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,642
N/A
N/A
$30,214
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,628
N/A
N/A
$12,891
Settled
No
kalshi

69° or below

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,714
N/A
N/A
$8,919
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,111
N/A
N/A
$3,658
Settled
No
kalshi

78° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,631
N/A
N/A
$1,574
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Chicago on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on whether the temperature falls within certain degree ranges, providing insight into expected weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 69° or below, 70-71°, 72-73°, 74-75°, 76-77°, and 78° or above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and while other weather services may offer similar data, they are not used for resolution. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the event from potential revisions.