TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.1b

24H VOL:

$122,657,021

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,797,847,289

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,746,719,487

507,598

Markets across

37,743

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,852

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 13, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 13, 2026?

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Chicago on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on whether the temperature reaches certain thresholds, making it a straightforward test of weather forecasting accuracy for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 13, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 81°F or below, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, 88-89°F, or 90°F and above. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority for resolution. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay expiration if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.