TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.1b
24H VOL:
$122,657,021
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,797,847,289
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,746,719,487
507,598
Markets across
37,743
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,852
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Chicago on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on whether the temperature reaches certain thresholds, making it a straightforward test of weather forecasting accuracy for that day.
All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 13, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 81°F or below, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, 88-89°F, or 90°F and above. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority for resolution. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay expiration if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.