TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets will determine the highest temperature reached in Chicago on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climate conditions on that day.
All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 12, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 84°F, 84–85°F, 86–87°F, 88–89°F, 90–91°F, or above 91°F. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, and users should exercise caution with preliminary readings due to potential rounding or conversion differences. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.