TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 12, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 12, 2026?

Volume:
$118,523

88° to 89°

 - Kalshi

88° to 89° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

88° to 89°

View
100%
93%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34,907
N/A
N/A
$22,300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,394
N/A
N/A
$26,206
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,037
N/A
N/A
$16,204
Settled
No
kalshi

83° or below

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,012
N/A
N/A
$13,232
Settled
No
kalshi

90° to 91°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,733
N/A
N/A
$8,362
Settled
No
kalshi

92° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,440
N/A
N/A
$2,248
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets will determine the highest temperature reached in Chicago on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climate conditions on that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 12, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 84°F, 84–85°F, 86–87°F, 88–89°F, 90–91°F, or above 91°F. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, and users should exercise caution with preliminary readings due to potential rounding or conversion differences. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.