TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 11, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 11, 2026?

Volume:
$127,526

77° to 78°

 - Kalshi

77° to 78° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

77° to 78°

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,187
N/A
N/A
$15,226
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,649
N/A
N/A
$18,822
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,109
N/A
N/A
$20,608
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,879
N/A
N/A
$12,544
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,183
N/A
N/A
$14,246
Settled
No
kalshi

81° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,520
N/A
N/A
$2,854
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

These markets focus on predicting Chicago's weather conditions for a specific date in the future. Outcomes are determined by official temperature readings from a designated weather source, reflecting expectations about how warm or cool the day might be.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 11, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 72° or below, 73-74°, 75-76°, 77-78°, 79-80°, and 81° or above. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, though participants may reference other sources for guidance. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.