TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting Chicago's weather conditions for a specific date in the future. Outcomes are determined by official temperature readings from a designated weather source, reflecting expectations about how warm or cool the day might be.
All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 11, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 72° or below, 73-74°, 75-76°, 77-78°, 79-80°, and 81° or above. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, though participants may reference other sources for guidance. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.