TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Chicago on Aug 21, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Chicago on Aug 21, 2026?

Volume:
$107,300

80° to 81°

 - Kalshi

80° to 81° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

80° to 81°

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,659
N/A
N/A
$12,964
Settled
Yes
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,545
N/A
N/A
$18,116
Settled
No
kalshi

77° or below

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,496
N/A
N/A
$12,536
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,569
N/A
N/A
$8,370
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,511
N/A
N/A
$5,340
Settled
No
kalshi

86° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,520
N/A
N/A
$2,686
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

Chicago’s climate on August 21, 2026 will be categorized into six temperature bands, each governing a unique market result through peak temperature data from an official source.

Kalshi

The outcome of each market is determined by the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) on August 21, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six temperature ranges apply: 77° or below, 78° to 79°, 80° to 81°, 82° to 83°, 84° to 85°, and 86° or above. The secondary rule emphasizes that The Weather Company’s data is the authoritative source for resolution, even though other weather services may be referenced for supplementary information.