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Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 27?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 27?

Volume:
$80,612

28°C

 - Polymarket

28°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

28°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$17,467
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

27°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,814
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,556
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,378
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,443
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,603
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,124
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,009
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,225
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Chengdu temperature market displays real-time odds and historical price movements tied to the highest temperature recorded in Chengdu on June 27. Traders on Polymarket can monitor current implied probabilities for different temperature ranges, track cumulative trading volume of $80,612, and review 24-hour activity at $51,145. This live data helps participants assess market sentiment and identify shifts in trader expectations as new weather forecasts and atmospheric data emerge.

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader belief about the highest temperature on that date, often diverging from traditional meteorological forecasts. While weather analysts rely on numerical models and historical patterns, this market incorporates real-time information and trader conviction through financial incentives. Comparing the implied probability from this market to published forecasts from China's meteorological agencies can reveal whether traders expect conditions warmer or cooler than official guidance, offering an alternative lens on expected outcomes.

On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares corresponding to different temperature outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome contract reflects the collective probability assigned by the market; a higher price indicates stronger trader confidence in that temperature range occurring. Liquidity and trading volume influence how easily participants can enter or exit positions, and prices adjust continuously as new information becomes available.

This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once the highest temperature recorded in Chengdu on June 27 is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing actual meteorological data against the predefined temperature ranges offered in the market. Resolution occurs after the trading window closes and official temperature records are confirmed, ensuring all participants have access to the same factual basis for settlement.

Major weather pattern shifts, updated seasonal forecasts, and real-time atmospheric conditions will influence trader positioning. Tropical systems, monsoon activity, or unexpected heat waves affecting the region could trigger significant repricing. Additionally, revisions to long-range climate models, changes in solar activity predictions, or anomalies in regional air pressure systems may prompt traders to adjust their positions. As June 27 approaches, daily weather updates and short-term forecasts will become increasingly important drivers of market movement.