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Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 25?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 25?

Volume:
$132,084

27°C

 - Polymarket

27°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 25, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

27°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,754
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,502
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,887
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,163
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,129
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,780
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$746
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Chengdu temperature market displays real-time odds and historical price movements on Polymarket, where traders forecast the highest temperature in Chengdu on June 25. You can monitor current implied probabilities, 24-hour trading volume of $99,217, and total liquidity across all outcome contracts. The interface shows how market participants are pricing different temperature scenarios, from the most likely outcome to edge cases, helping you understand consensus expectations and spot shifts in trader sentiment as new weather data emerges.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money incentives for accuracy, often incorporating meteorological forecasts faster than traditional analyst reports. While weather agencies publish seasonal or medium-range models, this market aggregates trader beliefs into a single probability for the specific outcome. Comparing the implied odds here to published forecasts from China's meteorological authority or regional weather services can reveal whether traders are pricing in factors analysts have overlooked or whether consensus is already reflected in the market price.

This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once June 25 has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Chengdu can be verified. The outcome is determined by comparing all temperature readings from that day against the threshold specified in the winning contract. Resolution occurs after credible public reporting confirms the final figure, ensuring all traders have access to the same authoritative data before payouts are distributed.

Major weather pattern shifts, updated seasonal forecasts, or anomalous atmospheric conditions could significantly alter odds. Real-time developments such as heat waves, monsoon activity changes, or unusual pressure systems affecting the region will likely trigger repricing. Additionally, historical temperature records for late June in Chengdu and any climate indices (El Niño, Indian Ocean Dipole) that influence regional weather could prompt traders to adjust positions. Closer to the date, short-range meteorological models become more reliable and often trigger final market movements.