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Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 8?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 8?

Volume:
$55,355

19°C

 - Polymarket

19°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 8, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

19°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,722
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,782
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,565
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,993
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

13°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,640
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,556
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Cape Town temperature market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for predictions on the highest temperature in Cape Town on July 8. Traders use this market to express their views on whether the day's peak temperature will reach, fall short of, or exceed specific thresholds. The dashboard displays current odds, trade volume, and price history, allowing participants to monitor how sentiment shifts as the event date approaches and new weather data emerges.

Prediction market odds reflect the collective judgment of traders betting real money, which often incorporates meteorological forecasts, historical weather patterns, and seasonal trends. While professional weather analysts issue deterministic forecasts for Cape Town's July 8 conditions, this market aggregates probabilistic views from many participants. The two approaches can diverge when traders weigh uncertainty differently or when new data shifts expectations. Comparing market odds to published forecasts helps identify where consensus is strong or where disagreement signals genuine uncertainty about the outcome.

This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once July 8 has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Cape Town can be verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public reporting of the day's peak temperature. Traders holding positions aligned with the verified result receive their payout, while those on the wrong side of the outcome lose their stake. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the market close, pending final data confirmation.

Weather model updates and seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies are primary drivers of price movement in this market. Major atmospheric patterns—such as cold fronts, high-pressure systems, or unusual wind shifts—can shift trader expectations significantly. Historical July temperature data and real-time atmospheric conditions in the days leading up to July 8 will influence positions. Additionally, any unusual climate anomalies or regional weather events reported in the media may prompt traders to reassess their odds and adjust their bets accordingly.