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$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

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Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Busan on May 29?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Busan on May 29?

Volume:
$58,066

26°C

 - Polymarket

26°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 29, 2026

Closed: May 29, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

26°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

27°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,446
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,852
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C or higher

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,152
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,886
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,080
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,005
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,491
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$825
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$137
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the highest temperature recorded in Busan on May 29, 2026 will fall within specific ranges. On Polymarket, the outcome that the high will reach 25°C carries 31.0% probability, while a high of 27°C holds 30.5% probability. Resolution will be determined by historical temperature data from Weather Underground, using readings from Gimhae International Airport Station. Watch for seasonal weather patterns and any tropical systems that may develop as May 29 approaches, as these factors will be critical in determining the actual high temperature recorded that day.

Frequently asked questions

The Highest temperature in Busan on May 29 dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for this weather event. It displays the current probability of the top outcome, live price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $46,304. The dashboard aggregates all active outcome contracts related to Busan's maximum temperature on that specific date, allowing traders to monitor sentiment shifts and liquidity across the full prediction market. Total group volume stands at $58,066, reflecting sustained interest in this climate forecast.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-time trader consensus on Busan's May 29 high temperature, often incorporating meteorological data faster than traditional analyst forecasts. While weather analysts rely on numerical models and historical patterns, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from many participants with financial incentives to be accurate. The current market pricing suggests traders are weighing seasonal norms, atmospheric conditions, and climate patterns for late May in Busan. Comparing market odds to official meteorological agency forecasts can reveal whether traders expect conditions above or below typical seasonal expectations for that date.

The Highest temperature in Busan on May 29 market resolves on May 29, 2026. Resolution is determined by the actual recorded maximum temperature in Busan on May 29, which will be verified against official meteorological data. The outcome that matches the verified high temperature will be deemed correct, and traders holding winning shares receive their payout. Markets typically use data from recognized weather stations or national meteorological agencies to ensure accuracy and prevent disputes. Traders should monitor official sources as the date approaches to understand which data source will be used for final settlement.

Several factors could shift odds for Busan's May 29 high temperature. Seasonal weather pattern updates from meteorological agencies may indicate stronger or weaker heat systems approaching the region. Changes in ocean temperatures and monsoon forecasts directly influence late-May conditions in Busan. Major atmospheric events, such as tropical systems or high-pressure ridges, can dramatically alter expectations weeks in advance. As May approaches, medium-range weather models become more reliable, typically causing market repricing. Real-time atmospheric data releases, including pressure systems and humidity patterns, will likely drive trading activity closer to the resolution date, reflecting increasingly confident forecasts.