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Highest temperature in Busan on June 12?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Busan on June 12?

Volume:
$35,558

28°C

 - Polymarket

28°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

28°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,686
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,959
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,849
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,850
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,401
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,447
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,223
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature forecast in Busan on June 12 on Polymarket. You can monitor the leading outcome, its implied probability, and 24-hour volume to understand market sentiment and liquidity. The dashboard updates continuously as traders adjust positions based on weather models, seasonal patterns, and incoming meteorological data. This single-venue view helps you follow how the market prices temperature expectations as the event date approaches.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader beliefs about Busan's peak temperature on June 12, often incorporating meteorological forecasts, historical climate data, and seasonal trends. Professional weather analysts and climate models provide independent temperature projections for the same date. Comparing market-implied probabilities to analyst consensus can reveal whether traders are pricing in more or less extreme heat than official forecasts suggest, helping identify potential mispricings or emerging consensus shifts.

Temperature outcomes on Polymarket are typically structured as discrete bins or ranges, with each contract representing a specific temperature interval. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to their belief about where Busan's high will fall on June 12, with prices reflecting the collective probability assigned to each outcome. Liquidity and spreads vary by outcome popularity, and prices adjust dynamically as new weather data and seasonal forecasts emerge closer to the resolution date.

The market resolves on Jun 12, 2026, after the highest temperature in Busan on June 12 has been recorded. The outcome is determined by official meteorological data from the relevant weather authority or data provider specified in the market terms. Once the actual peak temperature is confirmed, the corresponding outcome contract is settled and all positions are finalized based on which temperature range or bin the recorded high falls into.

Key drivers include updated seasonal weather forecasts, atmospheric pressure patterns, tropical storm or typhoon activity in the region, and historical temperature anomalies for early June in Busan. Long-range climate models and real-time meteorological updates will influence trader expectations as June 12 approaches. Urban heat effects, air quality conditions, and any unusual weather systems developing over East Asia could also shift market odds. Traders monitor these signals to adjust positions ahead of the final temperature reading.