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Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 3?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 3?

Volume:
$32,263

17°C

 - Polymarket

17°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

Closed: Jun 3, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

17°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,655
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

21°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,992
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,617
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,938
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

13°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,350
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

11°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 3 is priced through outcome-based contracts, each representing a specific temperature range or threshold. Traders buy and sell shares reflecting their belief in which temperature band will occur, with prices reflecting the collective market probability. As new weather data emerges or the event date approaches, prices adjust dynamically. The market structure allows traders to hedge or speculate on whether Buenos Aires will experience cooler or warmer conditions relative to seasonal norms for early June.

The market resolves on Jun 3, 2026, after the highest temperature for June 3 in Buenos Aires has been recorded. The outcome is determined by official temperature data from a designated weather authority or reference source, which measures the peak temperature reached in Buenos Aires on that specific date. Resolution occurs once the final reading is confirmed and verified against the market's predefined criteria, ensuring all positions settle based on the actual observed high temperature for June 3.

Several factors can shift market odds for Buenos Aires's June 3 high temperature. Major weather pattern changes, such as cold fronts or heat waves moving through South America, typically trigger significant price movements. Updated seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies, atmospheric pressure anomalies, and ocean temperature patterns in the South Atlantic can influence trader expectations. As June approaches, real-time weather models become more precise, often causing sharp repricing. Additionally, historical temperature records for early June and any unusual climate events in the weeks leading up to the date may prompt traders to adjust their positions.