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Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 26?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 26?

Volume:
$41,963

14°C

 - Polymarket

14°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 26, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

14°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,804
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

13°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,269
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,380
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

9°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,016
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

11°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,899
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

10°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,653
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$629
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

8°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Buenos Aires temperature market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature prediction on June 26. Traders can monitor current prices, 24-hour volume of $25,446, and historical price movements as participants buy and sell shares reflecting their forecasts. The dashboard displays the leading outcome and its implied probability, giving you a live snapshot of market sentiment around whether temperatures will hit specific thresholds in Buenos Aires on that date.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders worldwide, often incorporating meteorological models and historical climate data faster than traditional analyst consensus. While weather forecasters publish point estimates and confidence intervals based on numerical models, this market aggregates dispersed trader knowledge into a single probability. Comparing the implied odds here to published forecasts from Buenos Aires meteorological services can reveal where the crowd expects surprises or where official predictions may diverge from market expectations.

This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the highest temperature recorded in Buenos Aires on June 26 becomes verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing actual meteorological readings against the threshold specified in the leading contract. Resolution typically occurs within hours or days after the event date, once official temperature data is published and confirmed.

Major weather model updates, seasonal climate forecasts, and atmospheric pressure systems over South America can shift trader expectations significantly. Real-time developments such as unexpected cold fronts, heat waves, or El Niño patterns will influence positions as traders reassess probabilities. Historical temperature records for late June in Buenos Aires and any unusual atmospheric anomalies reported by meteorological agencies may also trigger trading activity and repricing as the event date approaches.