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Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 17?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 17?

Volume:
$31,238

15°C

 - Polymarket

15°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 17, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

15°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,418
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

14°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,541
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,389
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

13°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,956
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,157
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,671
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

11°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,598
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

10°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

9°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect the collective judgment of traders with real money at stake, often differing from traditional meteorologist forecasts. While weather analysts publish point estimates and confidence intervals based on atmospheric models, this market aggregates dispersed trader beliefs into a single probability. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is pricing in more or less uncertainty than official forecasts suggest, or whether traders expect outcomes outside the analyst consensus range. Both sources offer value: models provide physics-based reasoning, while markets capture broader information and incentivize accuracy through financial reward.

This market resolves around Jun 17, 2026, once June 17 has passed and the day's highest temperature in Buenos Aires is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by comparing the recorded peak temperature against the predefined threshold ranges offered in the market. Traders who correctly predicted which range the actual high would fall into receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the official temperature reading becoming available.

Updated weather models and seasonal forecasts are the primary drivers of price movement in this market. Major atmospheric patterns—such as cold fronts, high-pressure systems, or unusual jet-stream positioning—can shift trader expectations significantly. Historical temperature records for mid-June in Buenos Aires also inform positioning, as do broader climate anomalies or El Niño conditions. Real-time weather alerts and official meteorological updates in the days leading up to June 17 will likely trigger sharp repricing as traders incorporate the latest data into their bets.