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$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

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30,214

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 12?
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Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 12?

Volume:
$42,473

17°C

 - Polymarket

17°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

17°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,076
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

18°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,823
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C or higher

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,357
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

13°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,454
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,185
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

11°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,848
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

10°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,711
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

9°C or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,749
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 12 dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for temperature outcomes on that specific date. It displays the current probability of each temperature threshold, 24-hour volume in $36,407, and historical price movements. Traders use this data to monitor how market sentiment evolves as June 12 approaches, reflecting collective expectations about Buenos Aires weather conditions during the Southern Hemisphere winter.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader beliefs about the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 12, often diverging from traditional weather forecasts issued by meteorological agencies. While meteorologists rely on atmospheric models and historical data, prediction markets incorporate real-time information and trader conviction. Comparing market odds to seasonal climate normals and official weather bureau forecasts can reveal whether traders expect above-average or below-average temperatures for that winter date in Buenos Aires.

The market resolves on Jun 12, 2026, after the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 12 has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on official temperature data from a designated weather authority or data provider, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor the specific resolution criteria outlined in the market terms to understand which temperature source and measurement method will determine the final payout.

Several factors could shift odds for the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 12. Major weather pattern changes, such as cold fronts or heat waves affecting South America, would influence trader expectations. Updated seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies, historical temperature anomalies, and real-time atmospheric data closer to June will drive repricing. Additionally, any significant climate events or shifts in Southern Hemisphere winter conditions could alter market sentiment about the likely high temperature on that specific date.