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Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 11?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 11?

Volume:
$40,511

18°C

 - Polymarket

18°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

18°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,677
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,834
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,510
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,046
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,502
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

13°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,059
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$878
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced through an order-book or automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific temperature ranges or outcomes. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1 (or 0–100 cents), representing the market's implied probability. As traders adjust their positions ahead of Jun 11, 2026, prices fluctuate to reflect new information, seasonal weather patterns, and consensus expectations. The spread between bid and ask prices indicates liquidity and conviction; tighter spreads suggest higher confidence in the market's forecast.

Several factors could shift market odds for this event. Updated seasonal forecasts and long-range weather models from meteorological agencies will influence trader expectations as June approaches. Major atmospheric patterns, such as cold fronts or heat waves affecting South America, can dramatically alter the probability of extreme temperatures. El Niño or La Niña conditions may also play a role in regional climate anomalies. Additionally, historical temperature records and recent Buenos Aires weather trends will inform market sentiment. Real-time weather alerts and model consensus shifts in the final weeks before June 11 are likely to drive significant trading volume and price adjustments.