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Highest temperature in Beijing on June 29?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Beijing on June 29?

Volume:
$148,637

27°C

 - Polymarket

27°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

27°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$27,987
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,800
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,005
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,645
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,411
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,720
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,894
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,586
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Beijing temperature market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature forecast in Beijing on June 29. Traders buy and sell shares based on their conviction about whether the day's peak will reach specific thresholds. The interface displays current market prices, historical price movements, and liquidity depth, allowing participants to monitor how sentiment shifts as new weather data and forecasts emerge. This gives you a live window into collective expectations for that day's conditions.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders worldwide, often incorporating meteorological models, historical patterns, and seasonal trends faster than traditional analyst consensus. While weather services and climate researchers publish point forecasts and confidence intervals, this market aggregates dispersed knowledge through price discovery. Traders who outperform earn returns, creating an incentive to incorporate the latest data. Comparing the implied odds here to published forecasts from national weather agencies can reveal where the crowd sees upside or downside risk relative to official guidance.

This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once June 29 has passed and the day's highest temperature in Beijing is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing the recorded peak temperature against the specific threshold defined in the market. Once the event is confirmed and reported by authoritative weather data providers, the market settles and winning shares are paid out automatically. Traders holding the correct outcome receive their winnings.

Major weather pattern shifts, updated seasonal forecasts, and real-time atmospheric data releases will drive price swings in this market. Tropical systems, heat waves, or cold fronts affecting northern China could significantly alter expectations. As June approaches, daily meteorological updates and model consensus changes will tighten the forecast range. Geopolitical or industrial events affecting regional air quality or urban heat island effects may also influence outcomes. Traders monitor these signals continuously, repricing shares as conviction shifts.