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Highest temperature in Beijing on June 27?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Beijing on June 27?

Volume:
$87,024

35°C

 - Polymarket

35°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

35°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,702
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,586
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,684
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,779
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,978
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

41°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,597
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,951
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

39°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Beijing temperature market dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature forecast in Beijing on June 27. The interface displays current market prices, historical price movements, and trading volume metrics. With total volume of $87,024 and 24-hour activity at $61,851, this market reflects active trader participation. The dashboard shows how market participants are pricing the likelihood of specific temperature outcomes, updated continuously as new trades execute. This transparency allows you to monitor shifting expectations and market sentiment throughout the trading period.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional weather analyst forecasts because they incorporate real-time trader behavior, consensus expectations, and dynamic information flow. While meteorologists rely on atmospheric models and historical data, this market aggregates the collective judgment of participants who have financial incentive to forecast accurately. Comparing current odds to published forecasts from major weather services can reveal where the market is pricing in additional uncertainty or confidence. Traders frequently adjust positions based on model updates, satellite imagery, and emerging weather patterns, making prediction markets a complementary lens to conventional forecasting approaches.

This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once the highest temperature recorded in Beijing on that date becomes verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by official meteorological data, typically reported by China's national weather service or internationally recognized weather monitoring agencies. Resolution occurs after the trading window closes and the final temperature reading is confirmed. Traders should monitor official announcements and weather station reports as the date approaches to understand how the outcome will be verified and settled.

Several factors can shift market prices significantly before resolution. Updated weather forecasts from major meteorological centers—particularly those showing changes in high-pressure systems, humidity, or cloud cover—often trigger rapid repricing. Seasonal climate patterns and historical temperature records for late June in Beijing provide baseline context that traders reference. Real-time atmospheric data, satellite imagery, and regional weather alerts can accelerate price movements as the event date approaches. Additionally, any unusual weather phenomena or shifts in jet stream patterns could introduce new uncertainty, prompting traders to reassess their positions and adjust odds accordingly.