Highest temperature in Beijing on June 13?

On Polymarket, the Highest temperature in Beijing on June 13 is priced through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing specific temperature ranges or outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price directly reflects its implied probability; higher prices indicate stronger market conviction. Liquidity and trading volume determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions, and prices adjust continuously as new information and trades flow in, allowing real-time discovery of the market's temperature expectation for that date.

The market resolves on Jun 13, 2026, after June 13 concludes and the actual highest temperature in Beijing for that day is recorded. Resolution depends on official temperature data, typically sourced from China's meteorological authority or recognized weather stations in Beijing. The outcome is determined by comparing the recorded high temperature against the predefined outcome brackets or thresholds established at market creation, ensuring an objective, verifiable settlement based on real-world weather data.

Weather pattern shifts, seasonal forecasts, and atmospheric pressure systems over northern China can significantly move odds for Beijing's June 13 high. Major weather updates from meteorological agencies, unexpected cold fronts or heat waves, and historical temperature anomalies for that date will influence trader positioning. Additionally, as June 13 approaches, real-time weather data and short-term forecasts become more precise, typically reducing uncertainty and sharpening market prices toward the eventual outcome. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust their positions.