TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in Austin on a particular day in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting climate conditions rather than market predictions.
The event determines if Austin's maximum temperature on September 12, 2026, falls within any of six defined ranges, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. All markets use The Weather Company as the exclusive source for temperature data. If the temperature is less than 99°F, the lowest market resolves as Yes; if between 99-100°F, the next market resolves as Yes, and so on, with each subsequent market covering a 2-degree range up to 106°F, and the final market resolving as Yes if the temperature exceeds 106°F. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary data may be subject to revision, and the exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if material errors are identified in initial reports. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational only and does not guarantee immunity from post-publication corrections.