TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 5, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 5, 2026?

Volume:
$81,639

89° or above

 - Kalshi

89° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

89° or above

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,326
N/A
N/A
$12,455
Settled
Yes
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,276
N/A
N/A
$18,538
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,224
N/A
N/A
$11,235
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,712
N/A
N/A
$10,969
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,893
N/A
N/A
$5,398
Settled
No
kalshi

80° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,207
N/A
N/A
$1,996
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in Austin on October 5, 2026. Outcomes depend on the highest temperature recorded that day, categorized into distinct ranges. The resolution hinges on precise meteorological data from an authorized source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Austin (CLIAUS) on October 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 80° or below, 81-82°, 83-84°, 85-86°, 87-88°, or 89° and above. The official temperature value comes exclusively from The Weather Company, and users should be aware that preliminary data may differ from the final reported value due to rounding or conversion issues. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions.