TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$37,262

79° or below

 - Kalshi

79° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

79° or below

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,815
N/A
N/A
$8,224
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,850
N/A
N/A
$7,091
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,525
N/A
N/A
$4,551
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,030
N/A
N/A
$3,277
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,058
N/A
N/A
$2,630
Settled
No
kalshi

88° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$984
N/A
N/A
$921
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in Austin on October 4, 2026. Outcomes depend on the exact peak temperature recorded that day, with different markets covering various temperature ranges.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Austin (CLIAUS) on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 79°F or below, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, or 88°F and above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the Exchange may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.