TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 3, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 3, 2026?

Volume:
$57,409

78° or below

 - Kalshi

78° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° or below

View
100%
93%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,440
N/A
N/A
$12,703
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,523
N/A
N/A
$9,814
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,701
N/A
N/A
$2,854
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,389
N/A
N/A
$3,645
Settled
No
kalshi

87° or above

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,925
N/A
N/A
$3,705
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,431
N/A
N/A
$2,376
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in Austin on October 3, 2026. Outcomes depend on the highest temperature recorded that day, categorized into distinct ranges. The resolution hinges on precise meteorological data from an official source.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in Austin (CLIAUS) on October 3, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the temperature falls within a specific range, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion discrepancies, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The status of 'Final' on The Weather Company's platform is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.