TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 2, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 2, 2026?

Volume:
$50,697

78° to 79°

 - Kalshi

78° to 79° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,900
N/A
N/A
$6,961
Settled
Yes
kalshi

77° or below

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,945
N/A
N/A
$12,901
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,635
N/A
N/A
$6,600
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,568
N/A
N/A
$2,950
Settled
No
kalshi

86° or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,684
N/A
N/A
$2,224
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,967
N/A
N/A
$1,590
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in Austin on October 2, 2026. Outcomes depend on the highest temperature recorded that day, categorized into distinct ranges. The resolution hinges on precise meteorological data from an appointed source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Austin (CLIAUS) on October 2, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 77°F or below, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, or above 85°F. The official data source is The Weather Company, and any discrepancies or errors in preliminary reports may delay resolution until corrected or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. Preliminary data may include rounding or conversion differences, and a "Final" status on related platforms does not guarantee error-free data.