TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
86° to 87°
- Kalshi
86° to 87° - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 16h:49m:53s
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This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in Austin on a particular day in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting potential climate conditions and variability.
All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Austin (CLIAUS) on November 2, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 81° or below, 82-83°, 84-85°, 86-87°, 88-89°, or 90° and above. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, even if other weather services report different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and users should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments due to errors.