Highest temperature in Austin on Jun 5, 2026?

The market resolves on Jun 6, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official recorded high temperature in Austin on June 5, 2026. The outcome depends on which temperature range bracket the actual high falls into. Once the day concludes and the National Weather Service or equivalent official source publishes the final high temperature, the contract settles to the corresponding outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct temperature range receive their payout.

Several factors could shift odds before resolution. Updated seasonal climate forecasts, El Niño or La Niña patterns, and long-range weather model consensus will influence trader positioning. Major weather systems—cold fronts, high-pressure domes, or tropical activity—predicted to affect Texas in early June could trigger sharp repricing. Historical temperature anomalies and recent Austin heat trends also inform market expectations. As June 5 approaches, medium-range forecasts (7–10 days out) become more reliable, typically causing larger odds movements as uncertainty narrows and traders adjust positions based on improved meteorological data.