TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Highest temperature in Austin on Jul 30, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Austin on Jul 30, 2026?

Volume:
$34,655

100° to 101°

 - Kalshi

100° to 101° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

100° to 101°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,326
N/A
N/A
$6,374
Settled
Yes
kalshi

98° to 99°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,899
N/A
N/A
$6,909
Settled
No
kalshi

102° to 103°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,965
N/A
N/A
$4,806
Settled
No
kalshi

104° to 105°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,736
N/A
N/A
$4,724
Settled
No
kalshi

97° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,276
N/A
N/A
$2,386
Settled
No
kalshi

106° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$454
N/A
N/A
$448
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether Austin, Texas will experience extreme heat on a specific summer day in 2026. The outcome depends on official temperature readings from a trusted government weather agency. Participants can speculate on how high temperatures might climb during that period.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the highest temperature recorded at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on July 30, 2026, as documented in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 98°F, 98–99°F, 100–101°F, 102–103°F, 104–105°F, or above 105°F. The NWS report serves as the definitive source, overriding any other weather data or preliminary readings. Traders must recognize that early or unofficial data may differ due to rounding, conversion, or reporting delays, and only the final NWS entry determines resolution. All secondary rules emphasize reliance on this authoritative source and caution regarding interim data interpretation.