TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 1:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the peak temperature in Austin on a specific summer day in 2026, using official government data. It helps participants assess climate conditions and potential impacts on local activities. The outcome depends solely on the temperature recorded by a designated authoritative source.
The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom International Airport on July 28, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a 'Yes' outcome if the recorded high falls within that range: less than 97°F, between 97°F and 98°F, between 99°F and 100°F, between 101°F and 102°F, between 103°F and 104°F, or greater than 104°F. All markets share the same data source and methodology, with the NWS report serving as the definitive record. Traders should note that preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies, and only the final NWS report determines the resolution. Secondary rules emphasize that while third-party weather services may offer guidance, they do not influence the official outcome.