TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Austin on Jul 23, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Austin on Jul 23, 2026?

Volume:
$48,905

99° to 100°

 - Kalshi

99° to 100° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 24, 2026

Closed: Jul 24, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

99° to 100°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,731
N/A
N/A
$11,668
Settled
Yes
kalshi

101° to 102°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,882
N/A
N/A
$7,900
Settled
No
kalshi

97° to 98°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,206
N/A
N/A
$5,273
Settled
No
kalshi

103° to 104°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,901
N/A
N/A
$1,991
Settled
No
kalshi

96° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,795
N/A
N/A
$2,172
Settled
No
kalshi

105° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,390
N/A
N/A
$1,365
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in Austin on a specific summer day in 2026. It categorizes possible temperature ranges to determine the outcome based on official weather service data. The resolution depends solely on the recorded maximum temperature for that date.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom International Airport on July 23, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the recorded temperature falls within any of these ranges, the associated market resolves to Yes. All markets use the same data source and methodology, with the NWS report serving as the definitive record. Traders should be aware that preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies, and only the final NWS report determines the resolution. The secondary rules emphasize that while third-party weather services may offer guidance, they do not influence the official outcome.