TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 1:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the peak temperature in Austin on a specific summer day in 2026. It categorizes possible temperature ranges to determine the outcome based on official weather service data. The resolution depends solely on the recorded maximum temperature for that date.
The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom International Airport on July 23, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the recorded temperature falls within any of these ranges, the associated market resolves to Yes. All markets use the same data source and methodology, with the NWS report serving as the definitive record. Traders should be aware that preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies, and only the final NWS report determines the resolution. The secondary rules emphasize that while third-party weather services may offer guidance, they do not influence the official outcome.