TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Austin on Jul 15, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Austin on Jul 15, 2026?

Volume:
$26,342

81° or below

 - Kalshi

81° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

81° or below

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,957
N/A
N/A
$6,364
Settled
Yes
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,757
N/A
N/A
$4,106
Settled
No
kalshi

90° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,110
N/A
N/A
$2,703
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,510
N/A
N/A
$2,006
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,092
N/A
N/A
$1,967
Settled
No
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$917
N/A
N/A
$804
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded at Austin Bergstrom on July 15, 2026. The resolution uses the official National Weather Service Climatological Report (Daily) as the authoritative source, with temperature ranges spanning from 81°F or below up to 90°F or above.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the highest temperature recorded at Austin Bergstrom on July 15, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The temperature reading is divided into six distinct ranges: below 82°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, 88-89°F, and above 89°F. Each range corresponds to a specific market outcome that resolves to Yes if the recorded temperature falls within that bracket. The NWS Climatological Report (Daily) serves as the sole authoritative source for resolution; preliminary NWS data and alternative weather services such as AccuWeather or Google Weather may be consulted for guidance but are not binding. Traders should be aware that preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may involve rounding and conversion nuances that could affect final determination.