TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 1:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the peak temperature in Austin on a specific future date, using official government data as the definitive source. It helps participants assess climate expectations and historical trends for that exact day. The outcome depends solely on the temperature recorded by the National Weather Service.
The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom International Airport on August 8, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six separate temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the recorded temperature falls within any of these specified ranges, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same data source and methodology, with the NWS report serving as the exclusive authority for determining the final temperature value. Traders must recognize that preliminary weather data from other services may differ, as only the official NWS report—issued after the measurement period—will be used for resolution. Additionally, participants should be aware that NWS reporting may involve rounding and conversion processes that could affect how temperatures near boundary values are recorded and classified.