TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Austin on Aug 8, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Austin on Aug 8, 2026?

Volume:
$52,414

99° to 100°

 - Kalshi

99° to 100° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

99° to 100°

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,962
N/A
N/A
$8,463
Settled
Yes
kalshi

97° to 98°

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,881
N/A
N/A
$14,232
Settled
No
kalshi

101° to 102°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,839
N/A
N/A
$2,549
Settled
No
kalshi

95° to 96°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,546
N/A
N/A
$2,599
Settled
No
kalshi

94° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,602
N/A
N/A
$1,566
Settled
No
kalshi

103° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$584
N/A
N/A
$557
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in Austin on a specific future date, using official government data as the definitive source. It helps participants assess climate expectations and historical trends for that exact day. The outcome depends solely on the temperature recorded by the National Weather Service.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom International Airport on August 8, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six separate temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the recorded temperature falls within any of these specified ranges, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same data source and methodology, with the NWS report serving as the exclusive authority for determining the final temperature value. Traders must recognize that preliminary weather data from other services may differ, as only the official NWS report—issued after the measurement period—will be used for resolution. Additionally, participants should be aware that NWS reporting may involve rounding and conversion processes that could affect how temperatures near boundary values are recorded and classified.