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Highest temperature in Austin on Aug 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Austin on Aug 4, 2026?

Volume:
$49,379

101° to 102°

 - Kalshi

101° to 102° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

101° to 102°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,165
N/A
N/A
$8,875
Settled
Yes
kalshi

99° to 100°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,312
N/A
N/A
$5,745
Settled
No
kalshi

97° to 98°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,122
N/A
N/A
$6,072
Settled
No
kalshi

103° to 104°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,933
N/A
N/A
$3,898
Settled
No
kalshi

96° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,873
N/A
N/A
$3,647
Settled
No
kalshi

105° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$973
N/A
N/A
$972
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in Austin on August 4, 2026, categorizing outcomes based on specific temperature ranges. Each range represents a possible resolution, determined by official National Weather Service data. The event provides clarity for participants regarding how temperature thresholds translate into market outcomes.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom International Airport on August 4, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a 'Yes' resolution for its respective market: 96° or below, 97-98°, 99-100°, 101-102°, 103-104°, and 105° or above. The official temperature value comes exclusively from the NWS report, with all participants instructed to disregard preliminary or third-party data sources such as AccuWeather or Google Weather for final resolution. Traders must remain aware that preliminary NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, and only the finalized daily climatological report serves as the binding authority for determining the outcome.