TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Austin on Aug 12, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Austin on Aug 12, 2026?

Volume:
$48,766

101° to 102°

 - Kalshi

101° to 102° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

101° to 102°

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,136
N/A
N/A
$10,134
Settled
Yes
kalshi

99° to 100°

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,096
N/A
N/A
$12,709
Settled
No
kalshi

103° to 104°

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,882
N/A
N/A
$5,280
Settled
No
kalshi

98° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,766
N/A
N/A
$6,654
Settled
No
kalshi

105° to 106°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,393
N/A
N/A
$1,339
Settled
No
kalshi

107° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$493
N/A
N/A
$467
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether Austin will experience extreme heat on a specific summer day in 2026. The outcome depends on official temperature readings from a trusted government weather source. Participants can assess local climate patterns and seasonal forecasts to gauge the likelihood of record-breaking warmth.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the highest temperature recorded at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on August 12, 2026, as documented in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a distinct temperature range: below 99°F, 99-100°F, 101-102°F, 103-104°F, 105-106°F, or above 106°F. The NWS report serves as the definitive record, overriding any preliminary or third-party data sources such as AccuWeather or Google Weather. Traders must recognize that early NWS data might contain rounding or conversion inconsistencies, requiring careful interpretation before the final report is published. The market with the matching temperature range will resolve as 'Yes', with all others resolving as 'No'.