TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 1:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Austin will experience extreme heat on a specific summer day in 2026. The outcome depends on official temperature readings from a trusted government weather source. Participants can assess local climate patterns and seasonal forecasts to gauge the likelihood of record-breaking warmth.
All markets resolve based solely on the highest temperature recorded at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on August 12, 2026, as documented in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a distinct temperature range: below 99°F, 99-100°F, 101-102°F, 103-104°F, 105-106°F, or above 106°F. The NWS report serves as the definitive record, overriding any preliminary or third-party data sources such as AccuWeather or Google Weather. Traders must recognize that early NWS data might contain rounding or conversion inconsistencies, requiring careful interpretation before the final report is published. The market with the matching temperature range will resolve as 'Yes', with all others resolving as 'No'.